Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Uniao de Leiria had a probability of 10.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.15%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Uniao de Leiria win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
0.2) 
-0.02) 
