SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Vizela win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Estoril Praia |
37.25% ( 1.02) | 24.55% ( 0.24) | 38.21% ( -1.26) |
| Both teams to score 59.42% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.48% ( -1.08) | 43.52% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.08% ( -1.07) | 65.92% ( 1.07) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( 0.05) | 23.17% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.96% ( 0.08) | 57.04% ( -0.07) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( -1.1) | 22.67% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.69% ( -1.67) | 56.32% ( 1.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.25% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.21% |
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