SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 51.68%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Jong PSV |
51.68% ( 0.27) | 21.94% ( -0.07) | 26.38% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 63.6% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.21% ( 0.16) | 35.79% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.13% ( 0.17) | 57.87% ( -0.18) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.89% ( 0.14) | 14.11% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.26% ( 0.28) | 41.74% ( -0.28) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.05% ( -0.06) | 25.95% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.05% ( -0.08) | 60.95% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.67% Total : 51.68% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.38% |
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