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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Warrington Town | Draw | Chorley |
35.18% ( 0.02) | 25.67% ( 0.05) | 39.14% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.23% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.16% ( -0.2) | 48.84% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.06% ( -0.18) | 70.94% ( 0.19) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( -0.08) | 26.78% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.94% ( -0.11) | 62.06% ( 0.11) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( -0.13) | 24.57% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.95% ( -0.18) | 59.05% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Warrington Town | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.18% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.14% |
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