SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Chester FC |
44.15% ( -0.12) | 26.33% ( 0.06) | 29.52% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.17% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.79% ( -0.23) | 53.2% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.23% ( -0.2) | 74.77% ( 0.19) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% ( -0.16) | 23.97% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.79% ( -0.23) | 58.21% ( 0.23) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.29% ( -0.08) | 32.7% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.74% ( -0.09) | 69.25% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 44.14% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.52% |
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