Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Waterford United | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
32.89% ( 0.19) | 26.61% ( 0.02) | 40.5% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 51.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.79% ( -0.02) | 53.21% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.23% ( -0.02) | 74.77% ( 0.02) |
Waterford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.65% ( 0.12) | 30.34% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.47% ( 0.14) | 66.53% ( -0.14) |
St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.16% ( -0.12) | 25.83% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.2% ( -0.16) | 60.8% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Waterford United | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.89% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.5% |
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