SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Oxford United |
53.8% ( -0.07) | 23.82% ( 0.03) | 22.38% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.55% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( -0.08) | 48.31% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.07) | 70.46% ( 0.07) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% ( -0.05) | 17.87% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.35% ( -0.09) | 48.65% ( 0.09) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.98% ( -0.01) | 36.01% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.2% ( -0.01) | 72.79% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.51% Total : 53.79% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 22.38% |
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