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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
London Stadium
MU

West Ham
2 - 0
Man Utd

Bowen (72'), Kudus (78')
Kudus (43'), Paqueta (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Evans (45+2'), Fernandes (51'), Shaw (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawManchester United
51.97% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 22.88% (0.035 0.04) 25.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.95% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.63% (-0.148 -0.15)41.37% (0.147 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.23% (-0.151 -0.15)63.76% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)16% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (-0.129 -0.13)45.31% (0.128 0.13)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)29.82% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)65.91% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 51.97%
    Manchester United 25.15%
    Draw 22.87%
West Ham UnitedDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.74% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.01% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 51.97%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 6.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.77% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.49% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 25.15%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Liverpool 5-1 West Ham
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: West Ham 3-0 Wolves
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Freiburg
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Fulham 5-0 West Ham
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 West Ham
Thursday, December 7 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Man Utd
Sunday, December 17 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-1 Bayern
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Chelsea
Wednesday, December 6 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Man Utd
Saturday, December 2 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-3 Man Utd
Wednesday, November 29 at 5.45pm in Champions League


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