SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Everton had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Manchester United |
35.33% ( 0.36) | 26.31% ( 0.32) | 38.35% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.42% ( -1.31) | 51.58% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.62% ( -1.15) | 73.37% ( 1.15) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% ( -0.41) | 28% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.35% ( -0.52) | 63.64% ( 0.52) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( -0.98) | 26.25% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.64% ( -1.32) | 61.36% ( 1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Manchester United |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.33% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.35% |
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