SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.69%) and 2-3 (4.92%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Bayern Munich |
32.97% ( -0) | 21.07% ( 0) | 45.96% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 71.76% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.92% ( -0.01) | 27.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.41% ( -0.02) | 47.59% ( 0.02) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.26% ( -0) | 17.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.58% ( -0.01) | 48.42% ( 0.01) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.24% ( -0) | 12.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.97% ( -0.01) | 39.03% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.02% 1-0 @ 3.91% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.74% 4-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.85% Total : 32.97% | 1-1 @ 8.06% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.17% 3-3 @ 2.84% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.07% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.69% 2-3 @ 4.92% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0)0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.53% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.7% 3-4 @ 1.46% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.21% 2-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.42% Total : 45.96% |
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