SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Adelaide United |
48.46% ( -0.42) | 21.58% ( 0.05) | 29.96% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 68.02% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.74% ( -0.03) | 31.25% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.31% ( -0.04) | 52.69% ( 0.04) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.48% ( -0.14) | 13.52% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.42% ( -0.29) | 40.57% ( 0.29) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% ( 0.19) | 21.35% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.68% ( 0.29) | 54.31% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 48.46% | 1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.96% |
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