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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
47.74% ( -0.29) | 22.39% ( 0.17) | 29.87% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 64.85% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.64% ( -0.77) | 35.36% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.61% ( -0.86) | 57.39% ( 0.86) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( -0.38) | 15.28% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.02% ( -0.73) | 43.98% ( 0.73) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( -0.31) | 23.45% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.54% ( -0.45) | 57.46% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.17% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.97% Total : 29.88% |
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