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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.24%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
42.33% ( 0.21) | 22.79% ( 0.15) | 34.88% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 65.71% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.81% ( -0.87) | 35.19% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.8% ( -0.97) | 57.2% ( 0.97) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.76% ( -0.27) | 17.24% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.46% ( -0.48) | 47.54% ( 0.47) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( -0.58) | 20.6% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.86% ( -0.92) | 53.14% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.29% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.88% |
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