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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
44.25% ( 0.15) | 24.21% ( -0.07) | 31.54% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.2% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.81% ( 0.28) | 43.19% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.41% ( 0.27) | 65.59% ( -0.27) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.3% ( 0.18) | 19.7% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.3% ( 0.29) | 51.7% ( -0.28) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( 0.09) | 26.28% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.6% ( 0.11) | 61.4% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.08% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 31.54% |
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