Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Weston-super-Mare win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.