Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
-0.05) 
0.05) 
