SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Burnley |
37.56% ( -0.02) | 25.04% ( -0.01) | 37.39% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.63% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.17% ( 0.04) | 45.82% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.86% ( 0.04) | 68.14% ( -0.03) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.96% ( 0.01) | 24.04% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.69% ( 0.01) | 58.31% ( -0) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( 0.04) | 24.13% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% ( 0.05) | 58.43% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Burnley |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)4-0 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.56% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0)2-4 @ 1% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.4% |
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