SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 2-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle United |
20.42% ( 0) | 21.72% ( -0.03) | 57.85% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.61% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.44% ( 0.14) | 41.55% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.04% ( 0.14) | 63.96% ( -0.15) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.91% ( 0.08) | 34.08% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.23% ( 0.09) | 70.76% ( -0.1) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.87% ( 0.05) | 14.12% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.24% ( 0.1) | 41.75% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 5.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.79% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.12% Total : 20.42% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.71% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.48% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.95% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 57.85% |
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