SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Worthing win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Maidstone United |
35.91% ( 0.13) | 23.61% ( 0.14) | 40.48% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 62.79% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.92% ( -0.69) | 39.08% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.59% ( -0.73) | 61.41% ( 0.73) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( -0.25) | 21.85% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.92% ( -0.38) | 55.08% ( 0.38) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% ( -0.41) | 19.65% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.38% ( -0.67) | 51.62% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.91% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.69% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.22% Total : 40.48% |
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