Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
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