SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
63.97% ( -0.13) | 20.94% ( 0.18) | 15.09% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.59% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.04% ( -0.88) | 46.96% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.8% ( -0.83) | 69.21% ( 0.83) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.02% ( -0.32) | 13.98% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.51% ( -0.63) | 41.49% ( 0.63) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.49% ( -0.61) | 43.51% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.28% ( -0.51) | 79.72% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.6% Total : 63.97% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.82% Total : 20.94% | 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.5% Total : 15.09% |
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