Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
-0.13) 
0.18) 
