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League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Adams Park
DL

Wycombe
0 - 0
Derby


Sadlier (67')
FT

Smith (29')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Derby
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in League One

We said: Wycombe Wanderers 1-2 Derby County

As Wycombe could carry a Wembley hangover into Wednesday's game, a well-rested Derby County side should take advantage and improve their promotion prospects. With several players potentially back at Paul Warne's disposal, the Rams can bolster a fine record on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Wycombe WanderersDrawDerby County
25.47% (-0.055 -0.05) 24.87% (-0.052 -0.05) 49.65% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 52.69% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.2% (0.162 0.16)49.79% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.2% (0.144 0.14)71.79% (-0.152 -0.15)
Wycombe Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (0.037999999999997 0.04)34.08% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (0.045999999999999 0.05)70.76% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (0.104 0.1)20.07% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.69% (0.171 0.17)52.3% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Wycombe Wanderers 25.47%
    Derby County 49.65%
    Draw 24.87%
Wycombe WanderersDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 25.47%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 10.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.82%
1-3 @ 5.08% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.72% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 49.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Wycombe
Sunday, April 7 at 4.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Wycombe
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-3 Portsmouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Northampton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 1-0 Wigan
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-2 Wycombe
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Derby
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Blackpool
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Derby
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Reading
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-3 Derby
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One


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