Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Yokohama F Marinos in this match.
Result | ||
Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Al-Ain |
50.58% ( 0.21) | 20.53% ( -0.05) | 28.88% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 71.3% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.28% ( 0.15) | 26.71% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.87% ( 0.19) | 47.13% ( -0.19) |
Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.73% ( 0.11) | 11.27% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.13% ( 0.24) | 35.87% ( -0.24) |
Al-Ain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.36% ( -0.01) | 19.64% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.39% ( -0.01) | 51.61% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Al-Ain |
2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 50.58% | 1-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.53% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.88% |
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