SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
42.07% ( 0) | 22.79% ( -0.03) | 35.13% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 65.75% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.84% ( 0.16) | 35.16% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.83% ( 0.18) | 57.16% ( -0.18) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( 0.07) | 17.33% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.29% ( 0.12) | 47.71% ( -0.12) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.54% ( 0.08) | 20.46% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.08% ( 0.14) | 52.92% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 42.07% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 35.13% |
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