SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 54.55%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 1-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
54.55% ( -0.31) | 21.5% ( 0.14) | 23.95% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 62.49% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.91% ( -0.5) | 36.09% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.8% ( -0.55) | 58.19% ( 0.55) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% ( -0.26) | 13.31% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.84% ( -0.53) | 40.15% ( 0.52) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( -0.15) | 27.9% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.48% ( -0.18) | 63.52% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.92% Total : 54.55% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.58% Total : 23.95% |
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