Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 65.67%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 14.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
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