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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 58.61%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 22.01% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.12%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-2 (5.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
58.61% ( -0.25) | 19.37% ( 0.02) | 22.01% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 67.98% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.07% ( 0.18) | 27.93% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.34% ( 0.23) | 48.65% ( -0.23) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.38% ( -0) | 9.61% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.87% ( -0.01) | 32.13% ( 0.01) |
| Kyoto Sanga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( 0.28) | 24.79% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.63% ( 0.39) | 59.37% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.08% Total : 58.61% | 1-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.54% Total : 19.37% | 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.35% Total : 22.01% |
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