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J1 League | Gameweek 4
Mar 17, 2024 at 5am UK
Kyoto Nishikyogoku Stadium
YF

Kyoto Sanga
2 - 3
Yokohama

Sato (45'), Kawasaki (45+3')
Fukuoka (90')
Appiah Tawiah (8')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Mizunuma (5'), Lopes (33', 52')
Lopes (73')
Popp (64')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Yokohama F Marinos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kawasaki 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, March 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-0 Shandong
Wednesday, March 13 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawYokohama F Marinos
27.02% (0.113 0.11) 23.21% (0.15 0.15) 49.76% (-0.267 -0.27)
Both teams to score 59.61% (-0.435 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.68% (-0.619 -0.62)41.31% (0.616 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.29% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)63.71% (0.629 0.63)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (-0.241 -0.24)28.38% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (-0.305 -0.31)64.12% (0.302 0.3)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (-0.331 -0.33)16.77% (0.327 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.29% (-0.587 -0.59)46.71% (0.584 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 27.02%
    Yokohama F Marinos 49.76%
    Draw 23.21%
Kyoto SangaDrawYokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 6.74% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.99% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 3.77% (0.055 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.59% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 27.02%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.132 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 7.59% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.69% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.54% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.02% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 49.76%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kawasaki 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, March 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, February 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-1 Yokohama
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-3 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, November 12 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-0 Shandong
Wednesday, March 13 at 10am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shandong 1-2 Yokohama
Wednesday, March 6 at 10am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Yokohama 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, March 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-2 Yokohama
Sunday, February 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-0 Bangkok Utd
Wednesday, February 21 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Bangkok Utd 2-2 Yokohama
Wednesday, February 14 at 12pm in AFC Champions League


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