SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
46.41% ( -0.09) | 24.99% ( 0.02) | 28.6% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.82% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.82% ( -0.03) | 48.18% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.66% ( -0.03) | 70.34% ( 0.03) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( -0.05) | 20.8% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.54% ( -0.08) | 53.46% ( 0.09) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( 0.04) | 30.78% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.95% ( 0.05) | 67.05% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.6% |
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