SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
41.58% ( -0.69) | 25.85% ( 0.09) | 32.57% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.85% ( -0.2) | 50.15% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.88% ( -0.18) | 72.11% ( 0.18) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( -0.43) | 23.9% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.89% ( -0.63) | 58.1% ( 0.62) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.96% ( 0.29) | 29.04% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.05% ( 0.36) | 64.94% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.58% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.57% |
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