SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
53.73% ( 0.01) | 21.89% | 24.39% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.62% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.54% ( -0) | 37.46% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.31% ( -0) | 59.69% ( 0.01) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.96% ( 0) | 14.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.4% ( 0) | 41.59% ( -0) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.68% ( -0.01) | 28.31% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.96% ( -0.01) | 64.04% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.33% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.99% 4-1 @ 3.11% 4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 9.85% 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.89% | 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.01% 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.49% Total : 24.39% |
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