SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a FC Krasnodar win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
62.04% ( 0.13) | 20.3% ( -0.06) | 17.66% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.49% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.66% ( 0.14) | 39.33% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.33% ( 0.15) | 61.67% ( -0.15) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.82% ( 0.08) | 12.17% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.18% ( 0.17) | 37.81% ( -0.17) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.32% ( 0) | 35.68% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.55% ( 0) | 72.45% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.85% Total : 62.04% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.3% | 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 17.66% |
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