Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
28.9% ( -0.92)	26.64% ( -0.27)	44.45% ( 1.19)

Both teams to score 49.88% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.29% (

0.66)

54.7% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.97% (

0.54)

76.02% (

-0.54)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.05% (

-0.34)

33.95% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.37% (

-0.38)

70.63% (

0.37)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.52% (

0.89)

24.48% (

-0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.07% (

1.24)

58.93% (

-1.24)

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 28.9%

Zenit St Petersburg 44.45%

Draw 26.64%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.9%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 11.69% 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.53% Total : 44.45%