Sometimes, all Cincy need is a half-chance to turn a match in their favour, as NYCFC discovered this week, and with or without Acosta, we do not believe Laguna have the personnel that can match the Orange and Blue for 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 56.73%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%).
0.06) 
-0.01) 
