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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.11%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Santos Laguna |
49.52% ( 0.05) | 21.18% ( -0.25) | 29.3% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 69.07% ( 1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.29% ( 1.37) | 29.71% ( -1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.16% ( 1.64) | 50.84% ( -1.64) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.37% ( 0.51) | 12.63% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.23% ( 1.04) | 38.76% ( -1.04) |
| Santos Laguna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( 0.81) | 20.95% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.3% ( 1.25) | 53.69% ( -1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Santos Laguna |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.22)1-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.33)3-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 2.02% 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.48% Total : 49.52% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.05)3-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.3% |
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