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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Chicago Fire |
62.55% ( -0.16) | 19.7% ( 0.13) | 17.75% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.89% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.71% ( -0.55) | 36.29% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.58% ( -0.61) | 58.42% ( 0.62) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.88% ( -0.2) | 11.13% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.45% ( -0.45) | 35.56% ( 0.46) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( -0.3) | 33.73% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.61% ( -0.33) | 70.39% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.68% Total : 62.55% | 1-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.7% | 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 17.75% |
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