SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
55.76% ( 0.01) | 23.2% ( 0.01) | 21.05% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.77% ( -0.09) | 47.23% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.54% ( -0.08) | 69.46% ( 0.09) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.23% ( -0.03) | 16.77% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.29% ( -0.05) | 46.72% ( 0.06) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.3% ( -0.07) | 36.7% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.51% ( -0.07) | 73.49% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 55.76% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.19% | 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 21.05% |
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