Given what is at stake here, we are expecting a cautious game with neither side committing too much in attack. That said, we are tipping Toronto to narrowly pip Pachuca to all three points and send them packing from the Leagues Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 16.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
Pachuca	Draw	Toronto
63.68% ( 0.01)	19.41% ( -0.01)	16.9% ( -0)

Both teams to score 58.11% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.53% (

0.04)

36.47% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.38% (

0.04)

58.61% (

-0.04)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.11% (

0.01)

10.88% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.98% (

0.03)

35.02% (

-0.03)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.21% (

0.02)

34.79% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.48% (

0.02)

71.52% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Pachuca 63.68%

Toronto 16.9%

Draw 19.41%

Pachuca	Draw	Toronto
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.27% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 63.68%	1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.41%	1-2 @ 4.68% 0-1 @ 4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 16.9%