SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Orlando City |
42.72% ( 0.92) | 24.39% ( -0.02) | 32.89% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 59.13% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.47% ( -0.16) | 43.53% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.08% ( -0.16) | 65.92% ( 0.15) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( 0.35) | 20.51% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47% ( 0.56) | 53% ( -0.56) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.39% ( -0.61) | 25.61% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.51% ( -0.84) | 60.49% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | Orlando City |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.84% Total : 42.72% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.38% | 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.89% |
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