SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 50.45%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
50.45% ( -0.11) | 22.8% ( 0.03) | 26.74% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 60.8% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.37% ( -0.07) | 39.62% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.02% ( -0.07) | 61.97% ( 0.07) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.1% ( -0.07) | 15.9% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.87% ( -0.12) | 45.13% ( 0.12) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( 0.02) | 27.7% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.74% ( 0.03) | 63.26% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.65% Total : 50.45% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 26.74% |
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