Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
