Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 23.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
-0.8) 
0.82) 
