Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
