Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 15.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
Monterrey	Draw	Toluca
62.86% ( -0.63)	21.76% ( 0.46)	15.38% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 46.78% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.25% (

-1.55)

49.75% (

1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.24% (

-1.4)

71.76% (

1.41)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.76% (

-0.71)

15.24% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.09% (

-1.36)

43.91% (

1.36)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.2% (

-0.7)

44.8% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.22% (

-0.57)

80.78% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Monterrey 62.86%

Toluca 15.38%

Draw 21.75%

Monterrey	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 12.84% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.14% Total : 62.86%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.75%	0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.41% Total : 15.38%