Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Feb 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Cruz Azul.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | Cruz Azul |
43.04% ( 0.22) | 25.32% ( -0.03) | 31.64% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 55.4% ( 0.02) |
| 51.82% ( 0.06) | 48.18% ( -0.06) |
| 29.67% ( 0.05) | 70.33% ( -0.06) |
| 77.67% ( 0.13) | 22.33% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.2% ( 0.19) | 55.8% ( -0.19) |
| 71.33% ( -0.1) | 28.67% ( 0.1) |
