SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juarez | Draw | Queretaro |
50.05% ( -1.29) | 24.82% ( 0.68) | 25.13% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 52.53% ( -1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.15% ( -2.33) | 49.84% ( 2.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.16% ( -2.12) | 71.84% ( 2.12) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.07% ( -1.42) | 19.93% ( 1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.93% ( -2.34) | 52.07% ( 2.34) |
| Queretaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.6% ( -0.74) | 34.39% ( 0.74) |
