Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
