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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.15%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%).
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Mazatlan |
54.15% ( -0.41) | 22.15% ( -0.02) | 23.69% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 59.82% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.53% ( 0.59) | 39.46% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.19% ( 0.62) | 61.81% ( -0.62) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.41% ( 0.07) | 14.59% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.33% ( 0.14) | 42.66% ( -0.14) |
| Mazatlan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( 0.69) | 29.96% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.92% ( 0.82) | 66.07% ( -0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Mazatlan |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 54.15% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.05% Total : 23.69% |
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