Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 67.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 11.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.77%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
