Mazatlan begin a Liga MX Apertura campaign looking to avenge a poor showing last term, but the visit of Pachuca to Estadio de Mazatlan is one of the division's hardest assignments. Pachuca will be deflated after their final defeat to Tigres on Sunday, but they should have enough within their ranks to earn a narrow victory on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 51.99%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 24.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Mazatlan	Draw	Pachuca
24.07% ( -0.25)	23.94% ( 0.11)	51.99% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 54.21% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.9% (

-0.7)

47.1% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.66% (

-0.66)

69.34% (

0.66)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19% (

-0.6)

33.81% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.52% (

-0.66)

70.47% (

0.66)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.9% (

-0.21)

18.1% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.96% (

-0.36)

49.04% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Mazatlan 24.07%

Pachuca 51.99%

Draw 23.93%

Mazatlan	Draw	Pachuca
1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 24.07%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.93%	0-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.52% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.47% Total : 51.99%